From: Reuters
Published October 25, 2007 08:08 AM

Japan Weather Seen Average to Milder in Nov-Jan

TOKYO - Japan will see mostly average to milder-than-average winter weather from November to January, the official forecaster Japan Meteorological Agency said on Thursday.

Japan's North, East, and West regions each stand a 40 percent chance of having average or milder-than-average weather in the three months from November, the agency said in its three-month outlook.

In the remaining region of Okinawa and the Amami Islands there is a 50 percent chance of milder-than-average weather in the three months, it said.

A mild start to the winter season usually slashes kerosene demand. Demand for kerosene usually peaks around January. (For details, see table below.)

The forecaster's data showed that the average temperatures in the capital Tokyo in eastern Japan was 13.0 C (55.40F) in November, 8.4 C (47.12F) in December and 5.8 C (42.44F) in January.

Japan had seen mostly warmer than usual weather since August, but temperatures have turned a tad below normal levels since mid-October in Eastern and Western Japan and the Okinawa and Amami Islands.

The following figures express the percentage probability of temperatures in the coming months being cooler than normal, normal or milder than normal, according to the agency.

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Forecasts for November-January

COOLER NORMAL MILDER

North 20 40 40

East 20 40 40

West 20 40 40

Okinawa, Amami Islands 20 30 50

Forecast for November

COOLER NORMAL MILDER

North 20 40 40

East 20 40 40

West 20 30 50

Okinawa, Amami Islands 20 30 50

Forecast for December

COOLER NORMAL MILDER

North 40 30 30

East 30 40 30

West 30 30 40

Okinawa, Amami Islands 20 40 40

Forecast for January

COOLER NORMAL MILDER

North 30 40 30

East 30 40 30

West 30 40 30

Okinawa, Amami Islands 30 30 40

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