Study Finds Sea-Level Projections From the 1990s Were Spot On

Typography

Global sea-level change has now been measured by satellites for more than 30 years, and a comparison with climate projections from the mid-1990s shows that they were remarkably accurate, according to two Tulane University researchers whose findings appear in Earth's Future, an open-access journal published by the American Geophysical Union.

Global sea-level change has now been measured by satellites for more than 30 years, and a comparison with climate projections from the mid-1990s shows that they were remarkably accurate, according to two Tulane University researchers whose findings appear in Earth's Future, an open-access journal published by the American Geophysical Union.

“The ultimate test of climate projections is to compare them with what has played out since they were made, but this requires patience. It takes decades of observations,” said lead author Torbjörn Törnqvist, Vokes Geology Professor in the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences.

“We were quite amazed how good those early projections were, especially when you think about how crude the models were back then, compared to what is available now,” Törnqvist said. “For anyone who questions the role of humans in changing our climate, here is some of the best proof that we have understood for decades what is really happening, and that we can make credible projections.”

Read More: Tulane University

Photo Credit: JChristophe_Andre via Pixabay