New Modelling Shows Difficult Future for the GBR Under Climate Change

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The most sophisticated modelling to date forecasts that under the current global emissions pathway the Great Barrier Reef could lose most of its coral by the end of the century, but curbing climate change and strategic management will help coral resilience.

The most sophisticated modelling to date forecasts that under the current global emissions pathway the Great Barrier Reef could lose most of its coral by the end of the century, but curbing climate change and strategic management will help coral resilience.

A research team led by The University of Queensland simulated different future climate scenarios driven by a range of plausible global emissions trajectories.

Dr Yves-Marie Bozec from UQ’s School of the Environment said the comprehensive modelling of individual corals included their ability to adapt to warmer water, large-scale reef dynamics and their interconnections on ocean currents.

Read More at: University of Queensland

Coral bleached by high water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. (Photo Credit: Professor Peter Mumby)