Major Floods Increased in Temperate Climates but Decreased Elsewhere: Oxford Study

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Severe river floods are escalating in temperate climates and putting at risk populations, livelihoods and property.

The first global examination of recent changes in the size, frequency, and probability of extreme river floods using historical river records, the paper shows that dangers of extreme river flooding demand close monitoring of rivers for decades to come, to understand and account for the potential impact of such changes.

Dr Louise Slater, the main author and Oxford expert in flood risks, warns, ‘Our work shows the magnitude and frequency of floods are changing substantially in different climates of the globe. Flood maps need to be regularly updated to keep up with these changes and protect people and their livelihoods.’

She maintains, ‘These changes cannot be ignored. We need to keep monitoring our rivers because long-term records are necessary to understand and communicate how major floods are changing relative to the past.’’

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